Two Teams on the Ropes

Phillies and Cubs with their backs to the wall … here we GO!!!!

As always, my personal plays are posted publicly in the Break the Odds Discord, the Mosh Pit Discord, and often shared on my X account. Reminder: Default listing for stats is L30 AVG/wOBA/ISO.

✅ THE SLATE ✅

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies, 6p

• Nobody on the Dodgers matches up particularly well with the Pitch Mix. Teo Hernandez and Andy Pages have decent BvP numbers, but neither did much in game one against Sanchez.

• I think my favorite play in this game is to just try to hit the F5 under like we did in game one. It’s actually bumped up a run to 4.5, but it’s also pretty juicy.

• Bryce Harper finally had a decent game last night and his numbers are OK against the Mix (.333/.358/.167). I may sprinkle a little.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs, 9p

• This game is a total crapshoot. There aren’t even lines available on the outs market for either pitcher, so Vegas is telling you they have no clue either. Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong actually have decent numbers against Peralta, but the rest of the team is trash. Plus, both have bad numbers against the Mix. Michael Busch is red hot, so a “gut sprinkle” may be in order.

• Speaking of “gut sprinkle,” no L30 Pitch Mix numbers to back it up but Jackson Chourio and William Contreras are red hot in this series, so they are worth a look. I also don’t expect Matthew Boyd to pitch deep into this game, so BvP matters a lot less too, but Contreras is 5-10 off Boyd.

That’s all for now … Let’s go get some GREEN!