Trick or Pete

It ain’t Halloween, but we’d like some treats in our goodie bag. Bumpy weekend so we are keeping the list tight.

Let’s get into the plays for Monday, September 1st. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Pete Alonso / Starling Marte / Juan Soto (NYM) vs. Charlie Morton [GRADE: A]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	ISO	ExitVelo	HardHit%
17-54	.315	.408	.370	93.5	62.5%

The Mets have been scoring a ton of runs and Alonso’s mix numbers lead the way. Marte’s are good too, but in a smaller sample size. Soto’s AVG is low, but other peripherals look good. He’s also batting .571 with 3 HR off Morton.

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1.0u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• CJ Abrams (WSH) vs. Ryan Gusto [GRADE: B+]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	ISO	ExitVelo	HardHit%
14-38	.368	.421	.289	89.8	45.16%

L21 numbers for Abrams are solid. Worth some exposure.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles (0.7u-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)