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Slap On Some Chapstick

  • Writer: Plunder The Under
    Plunder The Under
  • May 14
  • 2 min read

Ahoy mateys! Let’s get this Pluderiffic day underway with some Pitch Mix Bangers, shall we? Matt Chapman makes his first appearance of the year as a top pick, so let’s see if he can come through. Fun Matt Chapman fact: He was diagnosed with Tourette's syndrome and uses it as a motivating factor for his success. Let’s hope today is a MOTIVATED day!!!

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Let’s jump into the plays for Wednesday, May 14th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.


✅ TOP PICKS ✅


  • Matt Chapman (SF) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

8-19

.421

.427

.263

99.2

73.33%

Here’s your checklist …


✅ Great Pitch Mix numbers

✅ Great BvP numbers (7-16, 333 avg)

✅ Great L7 (.317 this week)

✅ Getting to pick on E-Rod


Let’s GO! Now I will say … Chapman’s season-long numbers kinda stink so I’m not betting my kids’ college funds here but he’s certainly set up for success.


TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.75u-1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u for boosts and such)


Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more


  • Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Luis Castillo [GRADE: A]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

26-51

.510

.564

.392

95.1

59.09%

Ho hum … Aaron Judge again being all awesome and stuff. At what point are pitchers just going to give him the Barry Bonds treatment and never pitch to him?


TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u-0.5u for boosts and such), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays


💰 THE RECAP 💰


These are all of our picks from Monday, May 12 …


✅ Manny Machado: 2-3, run

✅ Kerry Carpenter: 2-5, 3 runs

✅ Dansby Swanson: 2-4, HR, 2 RBI, run

✅ Heliot Ramos: 3-4

✅ Yainer Diaz: 2-5, run

✅ Aaron Judge: 2-3, RBI, run

❌ Alex Bregman: 0-1, 2 walks

❌ Ketel Marte: 0-4


A very solid day! In related news … Alex Bregman sucks!!!

 
 
 

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