Rock Out With Your Oct Out

Decent start on day one … let’s keep it going!

As always, my personal plays are posted publicly in the Break the Odds Discord, the Mosh Pit Discord, and often shared on my X account.

✅ THE SLATE ✅

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians, 1p

• The Guardians ran into the Skubal freight train, but get Mize today. Jose Ramirez stacks up with with .333/.404/.310 (AVG/wOBA/ISO). He’s also 5-10 off Mize with 2 HR and batting .316 the last 7 days.

  
  

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs, 3p

• Wind blowing in again today at Wrigley so we can look at some F5 and game total unders.

• If you do want to consider bats, Michael Busch has been hot for the Cubs. His L21 totals against the Pitch Mix are .240/.408/.560 … Average is low, but the other peripherals are there.

• Cubs are using Kittredge as an opener. Indications are Imanaga will follow. He hasn’t been great of late, but nobody on the Padres stands out.

• Dylan Cease has owned Ian Happ in his career … 1-21 with 10 Ks

  
  

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees, 6p

• I’ll won’t flat out say “fade Aaron Judge,” but he’s also 2-21 in his career against Bello.

• Best Yankee bat against the mix is Ben Rice at .383/.450/.340 … I’ll have some shares of him today.

• Romy Gonzalez against lefties is always in play, though most aren’t having as good a year as Rodon. Worth consideration, but no need to have a ton on him.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, 9p

• Shohei Ohtani (.333/.487/.590) and Mookie Betts (.383/.478/.426) are the bats to look at in this game.

• I have no interest in the Reds. Too streaky and unpredictable.

That’s all for now … Let’s go get some GREEN!