Dial Up a Hernandez?

It’s the NL’s day to give us “the D” … here we go!

As always, my personal plays are posted publicly in the Break the Odds Discord, the Mosh Pit Discord, and often shared on my X account. Reminder: Default listing for stats is L30 AVE/wOBA/ISO.

✅ THE SLATE ✅

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies, 6p

• Two strong lefties on the mound for this one and I’m fairly surprised that F5 u3.5 is actually plus money right now. I know these are two powerhouse lineups, but neither lineup has a great track record against the opposing pitcher. Jesus Luzardo hasn’t pitched in almost two weeks, so my only concern with him is that he’s rusty to start.

• Trea Turner has decent numbers against the Mix (.467/.429/.067) but is only 4-20 off Snell with 8 K’s.

• Teo Hernandez is 3-8 off Luzardo with two doubles and has been swinging the bat well this week, but his Pitch Mix numbers are terrible. This may actually be a KIKE Hernandez kinda night instead. The dude just delivers in the postseason and this year is no different. Pitch Mix numbers don’t look great for power though (.333/.330/.167).

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 9p

• It definitely feels like the Cubs severely have their backs up against the wall. Sure, the Phillies are down 1-0 as well, but this absolutely feels like a do or die for the Cubbies with Imanaga on the mound, who admittedly has not been the ace of late that they need from him. Then you see multiple guys in the Brewers lineup with solid career numbers against him. Icky news if you’re a Cubs fan for sure.

• William Contreras is my top bat for the Brewers. He’s 3-10 against Imanaga with 2 HRs and only 2 Ks. I think Brewers o3.5 team total is on the table too, but a little juicy at -130. A Brewers o3.5 and ML parlay is in play.

• Bullpen game for the Brewers, so it’s tough to lock in on Cubs bats because everything is going to be situational. I’m inclined to just fade and move on.

That’s all for now … Let’s go get some GREEN!