The Master Bader

Short slate today (that’s what she said).

Let’s get into the plays for Thursday, August 28th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Harrison Bader / Trea Turner vs. Cal Quantrill [GRADE: A]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	ISO	ExitVelo	HardHit%
10-20	.500	.479	.250	93.2	72.22%

I’m expecting a high scoring game here from both sides, so even just taking the over in this one is a worthwhile consideration. Bader and Turner have the best Pitch Mix numbers. Worth noting that Marsh and Bohm have strong numbers against Quantrill (Bader and Turner do too).

TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1.0u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• Ronald Acuña (ATL) vs. Aaron Nola [GRADE: B+]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	ISO	ExitVelo	HardHit%

I don’t have Pitch Mix numbers to support this one because Acuña hasn’t found his groove since returning from injury. That said he’s 20-55 (.364) with 4 HR off Nola and I do expect some runs to be scored in this one.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB/singles/runs (0.7u-1u), HR (0.2-0.3u)