Patriots Day in Plunderville

It’s the holiday that isn’t actually a holiday except in Boston and Maine, but if you’re a Massachusetts native like me you know it’s all about 11am baseball and lunatics running 26 miles outside the stadium. Happy Patriots Day all!

Let’s jump into the plays for Monday, April 21st. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

• Alex Bregman (BOS) vs. Jonathan Cannon [GRADE: A-]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
14-35	.400	.472	1.090	.257	45.16%

Well you gotta have a Sox player on the list on Patriots Day … let’s go!

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3-0.5u with promos and boosts), hit parlays

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

• Fernando Tatis (SD) vs. Jack Flaherty [GRADE: A-]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
11-30	.367	.517	1.300	.433	53.85%

I don’t like to out TOO much stock in BvP, but it’s also hard to ignore that Tatis is 7-10 off Flaherty. Flaherty has been decent this season but I’m gonna lean on history.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (1u), HR (0.3u), hit parlays

💰 THE RECAP 💰

These are all of our picks from Saturday, April 19 …

✅ Bryce Harper: 1-4, RBI, run

❌ Pavin Smith: 0-2

✅ Corbin Carroll: 3-4, HR, RBI, run

❌ Lawrence Butler: 1-4

❌ Corey Seager: 0-3

❌ Kameron Misner: 0-4, run … Rays score 10 runs and he doesn’t even get a damn hit

❌ George Springer: 0-5

Gross. Bit of a shit sandwich kinda day.