Cruzin' On Over

Plunder The Under
May 2
2 min read

OK that’s my bad Weird Al Yankovic tribute to the George Thorogood “Movin’ On Over” classic with an Oneil Cruz twist. I know nobody under the age of 70 cares, but my Dad would think it’s cool so F the rest of you (with love). Weekend ya’ll! I feel like it’s a perfect time to keep the momentum going and crush dem books. LFG!

Let’s jump into the plays for Friday, May 2nd. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.

✅ TOP PICKS ✅

Oneil Cruz (PIT) vs. Dylan Cease [GRADE: A]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
8-24	.333	.581	1.518	.792	75%

Cruzin’ On Over … Let’s go! I’m a Dylan Cease fan, but he’s had serious issues with lefties this year and Cruz has been a Pitch Mix MVP in April. These numbers are gaudy and the exit velo is a ridiculous 100.9 MPH so we in all the way.

TARGET MARKETS: TB (1u), HR (0.3-0.5u with promos and boosts), hit parlays, H+R+R parlays

Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more

Trent Grisham / Austin Wells (NYY) vs.Ryan Pepiot [GRADE: B+]

H/AB	AVG	wOBA	OPS	ISO	HardHit%
8-17	.471	.775	1.824	.882	64.29

Above numbers are for Grisham. The twist here is Wells’ overall umbers are worse, but his 7 day numbers are better. Will likely have exposure to both to balance it out.

TARGET MARKETS: H+R+R/TB (0.75-1u), HR (0.3u), hit parlays

💰 THE RECAP 💰

These are all of our picks from Wednesday, April 30 …

✅ Paul Goldschmidt: 1-5, HR, RBI, run

✅ Aaron Judge: 3-3, HR, 3 RBI, run

❌ Pete Crow-Armstrong: 0-4

✅ Freddie Freeman: 2-4, HR, 2 RBI, run

❌ Gavin Lux: 0-3

❌ TJ Freidl: 1-4

❌ Christian Yelich: 0-5 … Brew Crew on the ban list

❌ Michael Harris: 0-4, RBI

✅ Zach Neto: 1-5, RBI