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Buehler ... Buehler ... Buehler?

  • Writer: Plunder The Under
    Plunder The Under
  • Aug 13
  • 1 min read

Quick observation for today … the numbers look good, but the players are all kinda mid-level talent. I find it best to not go crazy on days like this and monitor your bankroll and exposure. Sure, Rowdy Tellez may go off, but he also may go 0-4 with 4 K’s and eat a whole ham after the game.


Let’s get into the plays for Wednesday, August 13th. Reminder SIGN UP FOR PREMIUM (if ya ain’t already) to get the full list.


✅ TOP PICKS ✅


  • Carlos Correa (HOU) vs. Walker Buehler [GRADE: A-]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

18-50

.360

.361

.120

92.8

51.16%

Full disclosure … I’m a Sox fan and they need this win so I’ll be open rooting against this. That said, Buehler sucks. Power numbers are off some here, so HRR/singles may be the play.


TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (1u), HR (0.2u)


Quick note on the Target Markets section: These are the markets I’m going to be line/promo shopping for when the markets open up. Sometimes I will avoid them if they’re too juicy or the odds are just garbage (-130 and worse). Unit recommendation is a general guideline, but could change based on value. Also … feel free to visit GAMBLING SCHOOL 101 for a breakdown of all markets, bankroll, risk management and more


  • Luke Keaschall (MIN) vs. Cam Schlitter [GRADE: B+/A-]

H/AB

AVG

wOBA

ISO

ExitVelo

HardHit%

13-30

.433

.733

.300

93.8

54.17%

Small sample because he’s just back from injury, but Keaschall has been on a tear (and picked right up where he left off before the injury).


TARGET MARKETS: HRR/TB/singles (0.7u), HR (0.2-0.3u)

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